Central Oregon Market Update · Week of August 8, 2026Bend & Central Oregon Real Estate: StabilityBend · Redmond · La Pine · Sisters · PrinevilleBy Jordan|
Dated: May 20 2026
Views: 91
$656K Deschutes Median Sold | 20 days Deschutes DOM | 4.91 Months of Supply | 6.90% OR 30-Yr Fixed |
Deschutes County is still classified as a Seller's Market. That's not my opinion — that's the read from RPR's official Market Trends Report pulled May 20, 2026 (data through April 2026). Median sold prices are rising month-over-month, days on market dropped 23% in April, and the sold-to-list ratio firmed to 98.7%. Mortgage rates have eased meaningfully from where they sat 12 months ago, and qualified buyers are re-engaging into spring. Here's the full read.
OR 30-Yr Fixed 6.90% ▼ 0.10 pts vs Jan 2025 baseline (7.00%) | OR 15-Yr Fixed 6.13% ▼ 0.07 pts vs Jan 2025 (6.20%) |
30-Yr FHA (OR) Data not yet refreshed Jan 2025 baseline 6.50% | 30-Yr VA (OR) 5.875% ▼ 0.93 pts vs Jan 2025 (6.80%) |
What it means: Conventional and VA borrowers are seeing measurably better payment math than a year ago, and VA-eligible buyers in particular have the strongest hand in the room at 5.875% — roughly 100 bps below conventional. Year-end consensus from Freddie Mac, Fannie Mae, MBA, and NAR has the 30-Yr drifting into the 5.8–6.2% range by December. For buyers, "marry the house, date the rate" is very much the play.
Deschutes Median List Price (Active) RPR Market Trends · April 2026 | $700,000 ▼ 2.6% MoM |
Deschutes Median Days on Market RPR Market Trends · April 2026 | 20 days ▼ 23.1% MoM (faster) |
Deschutes Months of Inventory RPR Market Trends · April 2026 | 4.91 ▲ 10.6% MoM · ▼ 3.3% YoY |
Deschutes Sold-to-List Ratio RPR Market Trends · April 2026 | 0.987 ▲ 0.21% MoM |
Deschutes New Pending List Price RPR Market Trends · April 2026 | $674,750 ▲ 3.8% MoM |
Bend Active Inventory (sub-market) Redfin Bend · May 2026 | 1,267 |
What it means: The April numbers paint a much more constructive picture than headline scrape sites suggest. DOM dropped from ~26 days in March to 20 in April (a 23% improvement), the sold-to-list ratio firmed to 0.987, and new-pending list prices rose 3.8% — all signs that buyers are re-engaging into spring. Months of supply ticked up to 4.91 (still well inside the seller's-market band, but the deepest selection buyers have had in a year).
Median Sold (MLS) $656K ▲ 3.3% MoM RPR · Apr 2026 | Median Estimated Value $667K ▼ 1.2% YoY · ▲ 0.5% MoM RPR · Apr 2026 | Median Sold (Public Rec.) $640K ▲ 6.4% MoM RPR · Apr 2026 |
What it means: Per RPR (the National Association of Realtors' official property database), Deschutes County is still classified as a Seller's Market — with prices firming, not falling. Median sold price climbed 3.3% month-over-month, public-records sales jumped 6.4% MoM, and the full 12-month change in estimated property value is only −1.2%. That's mild softening, not a correction. Pockets within the city of Bend may show steeper YoY softness (Zillow shows Bend-only at −6.1% YoY; Redfin shows −7.9% YoY in March), but at the county level — including Sisters, Redmond, La Pine, and unincorporated Deschutes — the trend is constructive.
Bend MSA Total Permits, SA FRED BEND441BPPRIVSA | Not yet refreshed |
Bend MSA 1-Unit Permits, SA FRED BEND441BP1FHSA | Not yet refreshed |
Bend MSA Total Permits, NSA FRED BEND441BPPRIV · through early 2026 | Series active |
What it means: Permit data runs on a 60–90 day lag, and the seasonally-adjusted series has not refreshed for this week. Directional read: new construction has cooled meaningfully off the 2021–22 peak, which keeps a structural lid on listing inventory. With Deschutes County leading Oregon in net population growth (+6.6% since 2020) and Crook County leading in growth rate (+12.7%), permit pace is running well below in-migration-driven demand. That mismatch is the long-term floor under values.
Oregon Population (2025) U.S. Census via OPB · Jan 2026 | ~4.27M |
Annual Population Change U.S. Census · Jul '24–Jul '25 | +8,200 |
Deschutes Co. Unemployment (SA) OR Employment Dept · Feb 2026 | 4.8% |
Oregon Net Migration U.S. Census via KTVZ · Feb 2026 | +11,800 |
Deschutes Market Type (RPR) RPR · Apr 2026 | Seller's Market |
Buyer Behavior RPR / Bend Premier RE · May 2026 | Re-engaging, DOM falling |
2026 Outlook (30-Yr) Freddie Mac / Fannie / MBA / NAR consensus | 5.8–6.2% by Dec |
As a licensed real estate broker with eXp Realty, I help buyers and sellers across Central Oregon—including Bend, Redmond, La Pine, and Madras—navigate every stage of the real estate proce....
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